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Minimal Rent Growth Expected for US Multifamily Market in 2024

Writer's picture: Sofia JohnsonSofia Johnson

A Slowdown in the US Multifamily Market


The US multifamily market has been on a roll for the past decade, with consistent rent growth and rising property values. However, a new report from Yardi Matrix predicts that rent growth will slow down significantly in 2024.


Rent Growth Expected to Slow Down in 2024


Yardi Matrix's latest outlook suggests that rent growth for US multifamily properties will be minimal in 2024, with an expected increase of just 1.8%. This is a significant decrease from the 3.2% growth experienced in 2022.


Factors Contributing to the Slowdown


Several factors are contributing to the expected slowdown in rent growth, including:


Increased Supply: With more multifamily properties being built, the supply of apartments is increasing, which can lead to lower rents.

Economic Uncertainty: As the economy continues to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, economic uncertainty may make renters more cautious about signing long-term leases or paying higher rents.

Changing Demographics: As more millennials and Gen Z renters enter the market, their preferences and expectations for housing may differ from those of previous generations, potentially affecting rent growth.


Impact on Property Owners and Managers


Property owners and managers should take note of this expected slowdown in rent growth and adjust their strategies accordingly. This may include:


Increasing Operational Efficiency: With lower rent growth, property owners and managers may need to focus on increasing operational efficiency to maintain profitability.

Investing in Amenities: As renters become more discerning, investing in amenities that meet their needs and preferences can help differentiate a property from competitors.

Diversifying Revenue Streams: With lower rent growth, property owners and managers may need to explore alternative revenue streams, such as on-site retail or co-working spaces.


Regional Variations in Rent Growth


While rent growth is expected to slow down nationwide, there will still be regional variations in performance. For example, Yardi Matrix predicts that rent growth will remain strong in some secondary and tertiary markets, particularly in the South and West.


Top-Performing Markets


According to the report, the following markets are expected to be top performers in terms of rent growth in 2024:


Tampa, Florida: With an expected rent growth of 4.7%, Tampa is expected to be the top-performing market in 2024.

Jacksonville, Florida: Jacksonville is expected to see rent growth of 4.3% in 2024.

Las Vegas, Nevada: With a projected rent growth of 4.2%, Las Vegas is also expected to perform well in 2024.


Underperforming Markets


On the other hand, some markets are expected to underperform in terms of rent growth in 2024. These include:


San Francisco, California: San Francisco is expected to see minimal rent growth of just 0.2% in 2024.

San Jose, California: Similarly, San Jose is expected to see minimal rent growth of 0.5% in 2024.

New York, New York: With an expected rent growth of just 0.9%, New York is also expected to underperform in 2024.


Impact on Renters


The expected slowdown in rent growth may be good news for renters, who may see some relief in terms of rent affordability. However, it's important to note that rents are still expected to increase, albeit at a slower pace.


Tips for Renters


For renters, the following tips can help manage rental costs:


Negotiate Rent: Don't be afraid to negotiate rent with property owners or managers. Even a small reduction in rent can add up over time.

Consider Alternative Housing Options: Exploring alternative housing options, such as co-living or communal living arrangements, can help reduce rental costs.

Budget Wisely: With rents still expected to increase, it's important to budget wisely and prioritize rental costs.


Conclusion: Navigating a Shifting Market


The US multifamily market is shifting, with rent growth expected to slow down in 2024. By understanding the factors contributing to this slowdown and adjusting strategies accordingly, both property owners and renters can navigate this shifting market successfully.


FAQs:


Q: What is the expected rent growth for US multifamily properties in 2024?

A: Yardi Matrix predicts that rent growth for US multifamily properties will be minimal in 2024, with an expected increase of just 1.8%.


Q: What factors are contributing to the expected slowdown in rent growth?

A: Factors contributing to the slowdown in rent growth include increased supply, economic uncertainty, and changing demographics.


Q: Which markets are expected to be top performers in terms of rent growth in 2024?

A: Tampa, Florida; Jacksonville, Florida; and Las Vegas, Nevada are expected to be top performers in terms of rent growth in 2024.


Q: Which markets are expected to underperform in terms of rent growth in 2024?

A: San Francisco, California; San Jose, California; and New York, New York are expected to underperform in terms of rent growth in 2024.


Q: How can renters manage rental costs in a shifting market?

A: Renters can negotiate rent, consider alternative housing options, and budget wisely to manage rental costs in a shifting market.


Unique data points:


  • In 2024, the US multifamily market is expected to see minimal rent growth of just 1.8%.

  • Tampa, Florida; Jacksonville, Florida; and Las Vegas, Nevada are expected to be top performers in terms of rent growth in 2024.

  • San Francisco, California; San Jose, California; and New York, New York are expected to underperform in terms of rent growth in 2024.

  • With minimal rent growth expected in 2024, property owners and managers may need to focus on increasing operational efficiency, investing in amenities, and diversifying revenue streams.

  • Renters can manage rental costs in a shifting market by negotiating rent, considering alternative housing options, and budgeting wisely.




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